Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Perutz-stadion, Pápa
The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Pápai Perutz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904?
MTE 1904 starts as the favourite with a 239-point Elo edge (1,547 vs 1,307).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pápai Perutz have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; MTE 1904 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárom(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Haladás VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sárisápi Bányász(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Zsámbéki SK(away) | 6-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Pápai Perutz win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 MTE 1904 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Pápai Perutz 0-3 MTE 1904 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 6, 2025 | MTE 1904 2-1 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Northwest |
| May 8, 2022 | MTE 1904 2-1 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Pápai Perutz 0-3 MTE 1904 | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 10, 2019 | MTE 1904 3-3 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904 on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pápai Perutz score 1.3 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; MTE 1904 score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pápai Perutz | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| MTE 1904 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pápai Perutz sit 10th in NB III - Northwest (4 points from 4 matches) and MTE 1904 sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904?
- The Footlab model makes MTE 1904 the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Pápai Perutz.
- Where and when is Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904 played?
- Pápai Perutz vs MTE 1904 is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Perutz-stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.