Pápai Perutz vs Sárisápi Bányász: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Perutz-stadion, Pápa
The Footlab model makes Pápai Perutz the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Sárisápi Bányász. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pápai Perutz vs Sárisápi Bányász?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Pápai Perutz (1,307) and Sárisápi Bányász (1,301).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pápai Perutz have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Sárisápi Bányász have 3, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárom(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Haladás VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Haladás VSE(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MTE 1904(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Northwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Pápai Perutz score 1.3 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sárisápi Bányász score 1.2 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pápai Perutz | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sárisápi Bányász | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/13 | 10/13 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pápai Perutz sit 10th in NB III - Northwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Sárisápi Bányász sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Sárisápi Bányász | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 6 |
| 10 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pápai Perutz vs Sárisápi Bányász?
- The Footlab model makes Pápai Perutz the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Sárisápi Bányász.
- Where and when is Pápai Perutz vs Sárisápi Bányász played?
- Pápai Perutz vs Sárisápi Bányász is played on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Perutz-stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.