Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Perutz-stadion, Pápa
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Pápai Perutz. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
Tatabánya starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,308).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pápai Perutz have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Tatabánya have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Komárom(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Haladás VSE(home) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Pápai Perutz win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tatabánya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tatabánya 6-2 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Pápai Perutz 0-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Pápai Perutz 0-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Tatabánya 0-0 Pápai Perutz | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: Tatabánya vs Pápai Perutz on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pápai Perutz score 1.3 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pápai Perutz | 1.3 | 2.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pápai Perutz sit 10th in NB III - Northwest (4 points from 4 matches) and Tatabánya sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Pápai Perutz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Pápai Perutz.
- Where and when is Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya played?
- Pápai Perutz vs Tatabánya is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Perutz-stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.