Papua New Guinea vs Tonga: result 8-0 and analysis
Pacific GamesGroup Stage - 5Kick-off on July 17, 2019 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Sir John Guise Stadium, Port Moresby
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What was the result of Papua New Guinea vs Tonga?
Papua New Guinea won 8-0 on July 17, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Papua New Guinea have 5 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tonga have 0, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2019 | New Zealand(away) | 0-2 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 10, 2019 | Vanuatu(home) | 2-0 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 8, 2019 | Samoa(away) | 6-0 | Pacific Games |
| Jun 13, 2017 | Solomon Islands(home) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Jun 9, 2017 | Solomon Islands(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Oceania |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 2019 | Vanuatu(home) | 0-14 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 12, 2019 | Samoa(away) | 0-2 | Pacific Games |
| Jul 8, 2019 | New Zealand(home) | 0-13 | Pacific Games |
| Dec 12, 2017 | Fiji(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Dec 8, 2017 | New Caledonia(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies |
How many goals should we expect?
Papua New Guinea score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Tonga score 0.3 and concede 5.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papua New Guinea | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/12 | 8/12 |
| Tonga | 0.3 | 5.8 | 0 | 2/10 | 9/10 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy