Parana vs Guaratinguetá: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 5Kick-off on June 9, 2012 at 07:20 PM (UTC)Estádio Durival de Britto e Silva, Curitiba, Paraná
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What was the result of Parana vs Guaratinguetá?
Parana won 3-2 on June 9, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 32′234495Guaratinguetá
- 40′Arthur CaíkeParana
- 45′Wellington da Silva SerezuellaParana (pen.)
- 48′Leandro Goncalves CostaGuaratinguetá
- 90′Jose Luis Santos de VisitacaoParana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Parana have 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Guaratinguetá have 1, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2012 | Goias(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jun 3, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 3-3 | Serie B |
| May 30, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| May 19, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| May 29, 2012 | CRB(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| May 26, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| May 19, 2012 | Criciuma(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Parana score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Guaratinguetá score 1.0 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parana | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 2/4 | 1/4 |
| Guaratinguetá | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy