Pardubice vs Baník Ostrava: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)CFIG Arena, Pardubice
The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Pardubice. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pardubice vs Baník Ostrava?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Pardubice (1,870) and Baník Ostrava (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pardubice have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Baník Ostrava have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sigma Olomouc(away) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mlada Boleslav(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FK Jablonec(home) | 0-2 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Artis(home) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hradec Králové(away) | 1-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Slavia Praha(home) | 0-4 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Zlin(away) | 1-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | AS Trencin(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pardubice win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Baník Ostrava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 1-4 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Pardubice 3-4 Baník Ostrava | Cup |
| Oct 1, 2025 | Pardubice 0-1 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Baník Ostrava 5-2 Pardubice | Czech Liga |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Pardubice 0-2 Baník Ostrava | Cup |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Pardubice 2-3 Baník Ostrava | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pardubice score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Ostrava score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Baník Ostrava | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pardubice sit 13th in Czech Liga (1 points from 5 matches) and Baník Ostrava sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Baník Ostrava | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | Pardubice | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pardubice vs Baník Ostrava?
- The Footlab model makes Baník Ostrava the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Pardubice.
- Where and when is Pardubice vs Baník Ostrava played?
- Pardubice vs Baník Ostrava is played on February 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at CFIG Arena, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.