Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II: prediction and stats
Esiliiga BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Parnu JK Vaprus U21 the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Tallinna Kalev II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,272 vs 1,166).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Tallinna Kalev II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(home) | 6-0 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tulevik(home) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Luunja(away) | 2-2 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Levadia U19(home) | 2-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Legion(home) | 3-3 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | JK Tabasalu(away) | 1-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Johvi Phoenix(home) | 3-1 | Esiliiga B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Narva U21(away) | 0-5 | Esiliiga B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tallinna Kalev II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2026 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 2-2 Tallinna Kalev II | Esiliiga B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev II 2-3 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | Esiliiga B |
Last archived meeting: Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II on Jun 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 score 2.5 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tallinna Kalev II score 2.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 86% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Tallinna Kalev II | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 sit 7th in Esiliiga B (37 points from 25 matches) and Tallinna Kalev II sit 9th (20 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 69 | 54 | 37 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 62 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II?
- The Footlab model makes Parnu JK Vaprus U21 the favourite at 66%, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Tallinna Kalev II.
- Where and when is Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II played?
- Parnu JK Vaprus U21 vs Tallinna Kalev II is played on September 6, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC), in the Esiliiga B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 86% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.