Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Patrostadion, Maasmechelen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Patro Eisden. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Virton wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton?
Excelsior Virton starts as the favourite with a 167-point Elo edge (2,028 vs 1,861).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Patro Eisden
4-1-4-1- 7Hong Seok-Ju
- 10T. Kasayanagi
- 33L. Verstraete
- 8S. Peeters
- 4R. Nainggolan
- 20R. Takaoka
- 2L. Dietz
- 22H. Mnoga
- 14J. Renson
- 27J. Munezero
- 1J. Belin
Excelsior Virton
5-3-2- 11A. Hachem
- 17T. Tormin
- 8G. Arib
- 13A. Dembélé
- 10P. Wade
- 3A. Tchaptchet
- 4E. Kari
- 22S. Assengue
- 18J. Ntenda
- 24H. Lambotte
- 1C. De Schrevel
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Patro Eisden have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Excelsior Virton have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 1-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Roeselare Daisel(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dender(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 3-4 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oostkamp(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 3-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Francs Borains(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Patro Eisden score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior Virton score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patro Eisden | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Excelsior Virton | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Patro Eisden sit 12th in Challenger Pro League (6 points from 7 matches) and Excelsior Virton sit 6th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Excelsior Virton | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Patro Eisden | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
A question about Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Virton the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Patro Eisden.
- Where and when is Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton played?
- Patro Eisden vs Excelsior Virton is played on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Patrostadion, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.