Pavia vs Folgore Caratese: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 6Kick-off on October 5, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Pavia vs Folgore Caratese?
Folgore Caratese won 0-1 on October 5, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 12′582025Folgore Caratese
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Pavia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Folgore Caratese have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Real Calepina(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Breno(home) | 2-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Milan II(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Caldiero Terme(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2025 | Leon Monza e Brianza(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Vogherese(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Castellanzese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Villa Valle(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Varesina(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Pavia score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 7; Folgore Caratese score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pavia | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2 | 4/7 | 5/7 |
| Folgore Caratese | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pavia sit 15th in Serie D - Girone B (37 points from 34 matches) and Folgore Caratese sit 1st (68 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58 | 27 | 68 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 47 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy