Pelhřimov vs Žďár nad Sázavou: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie DDivision D - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion TJ Spartak Pelhřimov, Pelhřimov
The Footlab model makes Pelhřimov the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Žďár nad Sázavou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelhřimov vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Pelhřimov (1,559) and Žďár nad Sázavou (1,575).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelhřimov have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Žďár nad Sázavou have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Tatran Bohunice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Havlíčkův Brod(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Chotebor(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FS Třebíč(away) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sparta Brno(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bystrc Kníničky(away) | 3-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ráječko(away) | 1-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kuřim(home) | 0-2 | 4. liga - Divizie D |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pelhřimov win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Žďár nad Sázavou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Pelhřimov 2-1 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Žďár nad Sázavou 1-1 Pelhřimov | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Žďár nad Sázavou 4-2 Pelhřimov | 4. liga - Divizie D |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Pelhřimov 3-0 Žďár nad Sázavou | 4. liga - Divizie D |
Last archived meeting: Pelhřimov vs Žďár nad Sázavou on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pelhřimov score 1.6 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Žďár nad Sázavou score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelhřimov | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Žďár nad Sázavou | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelhřimov sit 4th in 4. liga - Divizie D (4 points from 2 matches) and Žďár nad Sázavou sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Žďár nad Sázavou | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Pelhřimov | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Pelhřimov | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelhřimov vs Žďár nad Sázavou?
- The Footlab model makes Pelhřimov the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Žďár nad Sázavou.
- Where and when is Pelhřimov vs Žďár nad Sázavou played?
- Pelhřimov vs Žďár nad Sázavou is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion TJ Spartak Pelhřimov, in the 4. liga - Divizie D.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.