Peña Sport vs Espanyol II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo San Francisco, Tafalla
The Footlab model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Espanyol II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peña Sport vs Espanyol II?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Peña Sport (1,933) and Espanyol II (1,891).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peña Sport have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Espanyol II have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Mutilvera(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Atlético Artajonés(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| May 3, 2026 | Subiza(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | San Juan(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Beti Onak(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 15 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Badalona II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sant Andreu(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 2, 2026 | Atlético Baleares(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Peña Sport score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Espanyol II score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña Sport | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Espanyol II | 1.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peña Sport vs Espanyol II?
- The Footlab model makes Peña Sport the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Espanyol II.
- Where and when is Peña Sport vs Espanyol II played?
- Peña Sport vs Espanyol II is played on September 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo San Francisco, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.