Penang vs Melaka: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadium Bandar Raya Pulau Pinang, George Town
The Footlab model makes Penang the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Melaka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penang vs Melaka?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Penang (1,529) and Melaka (1,443).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penang have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Melaka have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Terengganu(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| May 16, 2026 | Imigresen(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 9, 2026 | Kuching FA(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Negeri Sembilan(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Penang win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Melaka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Penang 5-0 Melaka | Super League |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Penang 3-0 Melaka | FA Cup |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Melaka 0-2 Penang | FA Cup |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Melaka 1-1 Penang | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Melaka score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Melaka | 1.0 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penang sit 10th in Super League (0 points from 1 matches) and Melaka sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | Melaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penang vs Melaka?
- The Footlab model makes Penang the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Melaka.
- Where and when is Penang vs Melaka played?
- Penang vs Melaka is played on November 1, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadium Bandar Raya Pulau Pinang, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.