Penang vs Negeri Sembilan: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadium Bandar Raya Pulau Pinang, George Town
The Footlab model makes Penang the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Negeri Sembilan. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penang vs Negeri Sembilan?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Penang (1,529) and Negeri Sembilan (1,511).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penang have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Negeri Sembilan have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Kelantan United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 10, 2026 | Kuala Lumpur FA(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| May 3, 2026 | Melaka(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Terengganu(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penang win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Negeri Sembilan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Negeri Sembilan 3-3 Penang | Super League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Penang 2-1 Negeri Sembilan | Super League |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Negeri Sembilan 0-2 Penang | Super League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Penang 2-2 Negeri Sembilan | Super League |
| Jun 26, 2023 | Negeri Sembilan 1-1 Penang | Super League |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Penang 0-0 Negeri Sembilan | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Negeri Sembilan vs Penang on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Negeri Sembilan score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Negeri Sembilan | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penang vs Negeri Sembilan?
- The Footlab model makes Penang the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Negeri Sembilan.
- Where and when is Penang vs Negeri Sembilan played?
- Penang vs Negeri Sembilan is played on December 19, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadium Bandar Raya Pulau Pinang, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.