Penapolense vs Nacional SP: result 1-1 and analysis
Paulista - A3Regular Season - 6Kick-off on May 2, 2021 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Tenente Carriço, Penápolis, São Paulo
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What was the result of Penapolense vs Nacional SP?
Penapolense and Nacional SP drew 1-1 on May 2, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 28′EdersonNacional SP (pen.)
- 68′Luiz Fernando Borges RomãoPenapolense (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penapolense have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Nacional SP have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2021 | Comercial(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Olímpia(home) | 0-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Marília(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Rio Preto(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 7, 2021 | Barretos(away) | 0-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2021 | Votuporanguense(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A3 |
| Apr 28, 2021 | Batatais(away) | 2-4 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 13, 2021 | Rio Preto(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 10, 2021 | Desportivo Brasil(home) | 2-3 | Paulista - A3 |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Olímpia(away) | 3-2 | Paulista - A3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Penapolense score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Nacional SP score 1.3 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penapolense | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Nacional SP | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy