Penarol vs CA River Plate: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 7Kick-off on May 2, 2012 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs CA River Plate?
Penarol won 1-0 on May 2, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 69′F. EstoyanoffPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; CA River Plate have 3, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2012 | Cerro(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 5, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 23, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2012 | Fenix(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 22, 2012 | Cerro Largo(away) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Cerro(home) | 3-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Cerrito(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 24, 2012 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 8; CA River Plate score 2.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| CA River Plate | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/9 | 8/9 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and CA River Plate sit 15th (29 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 15 | CA River Plate | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 28 | 48 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy