Penarol vs Cerro: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 1Kick-off on February 7, 2016 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 2-1 on February 7, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 1′Tomás CostaPenarol
- 59′H. SilveiraCerro
- 89′L. HernándezPenarol (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Cerro have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | Juventud(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 28, 2015 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 8, 2015 | Club Nacional(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2015 | Villa Teresa(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2015 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 28, 2015 | SUD America(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 22, 2015 | Fenix(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2015 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Nov 1, 2015 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División |
| Feb 14, 2015 | Cerro 0-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2014 | Penarol 3-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Mar 22, 2014 | Penarol 0-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 27, 2013 | Cerro 1-0 Penarol | Primera División |
| Mar 16, 2013 | Cerro 1-1 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerro | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Cerro sit 10th (46 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy