Penarol vs Cerro: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 10Kick-off on April 28, 2012 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Cerro?
Penarol won 3-1 on April 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 55′L. AguiarPenarol (pen.)
- 74′G. de los SantosCerro
- 85′M. SilvaPenarol
- 88′Maximiliano Daniel Pérez TambascoPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 4 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Cerro have 2, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 5, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Danubio(away) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 23, 2012 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 3, 2012 | Cerro Largo(home) | 4-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2012 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 15, 2012 | CA River Plate(away) | 3-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 31, 2012 | Fenix(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 25, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 1-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 7; Cerro score 1.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.6 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| Cerro | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/9 | 7/9 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Cerro sit 10th (46 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 10 | Cerro | 37 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy