Penarol vs Club Nacional: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 13Kick-off on May 20, 2012 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Club Nacional?
Club Nacional won 2-3 on May 20, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 1′R. MoraPenarol
- 15′R. PortaClub Nacional (pen.)
- 24′M. ZalayetaPenarol
- 40′F. PírizClub Nacional
- 55′Á. RecobaClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 8 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Club Nacional have 8, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2012 | Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 9, 2012 | Rentistas(home) | 4-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 6, 2012 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 2, 2012 | CA River Plate(home) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 28, 2012 | Cerro(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2012 | Rampla Juniors(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 5, 2012 | Fenix(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 29, 2012 | El Tanque Sisley(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 21, 2012 | Rentistas(away) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 15, 2012 | Cerrito(home) | 6-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 12; Club Nacional score 2.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 8/12 | 8/12 |
| Club Nacional | 2.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/12 | 8/12 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Club Nacional sit 1st (79 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 37 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 76 | 33 | 79 |
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy