Penarol vs Defensor Sporting: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 4Kick-off on October 7, 2023 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Penarol won 2-1 on October 7, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 29′Á. NavarroDefensor Sporting (pen.)
- 45′F. GonzálezPenarol
- 68′S. RodríguezPenarol (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 6, 7 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Boston River(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 27, 2023 | La Luz(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Boston River(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | La Luz(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 25, 2023 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Fenix(away) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2023 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Penarol win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Defensor Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2023 | Penarol 2-1 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Defensor Sporting 2-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Defensor Sporting 2-3 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 13, 2022 | Penarol 0-1 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| Jan 28, 2021 | Penarol 1-2 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 23, 2020 | Defensor Sporting 2-1 Penarol | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Penarol vs Defensor Sporting on Jul 23, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.6 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.6 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 5th (61 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 5 | Defensor Sporting | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 61 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy