Penarol vs Defensor Sporting: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 14Kick-off on November 2, 2025 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Penarol vs Defensor Sporting?
Penarol won 2-1 on November 2, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 4′D. AbreuDefensor Sporting (pen.)
- 45′L. HernándezPenarol
- 55′L. HernándezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 2-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Cerro(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 2-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Progreso(away) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Penarol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Defensor Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol | Copa Uruguay |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Penarol 3-0 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| May 3, 2025 | Defensor Sporting 0-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Penarol 2-0 Defensor Sporting | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Penarol 1-0 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| May 18, 2024 | Defensor Sporting 0-2 Penarol | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Defensor Sporting vs Penarol on Oct 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 5th (61 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 5 | Defensor Sporting | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 61 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy