Peñarol vs Holanda: result 5-1 and analysis
AmazonenseRegular Season - 7Kick-off on April 8, 2017 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Floro de Mendonça, Itacoatiara, Amazonas
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What was the result of Peñarol vs Holanda?
Peñarol won 5-1 on April 8, 2017.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Peñarol have 4 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Holanda have 1, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | Rio Negro AM(away) | 3-3 | Amazonense |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Manaus FC(home) | 0-2 | Amazonense |
| Mar 30, 2017 | Nacional AM(away) | 1-1 | Amazonense |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Princesa Solimões(away) | 0-1 | Amazonense |
| Mar 21, 2017 | São Raimundo AM(home) | 2-0 | Amazonense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | Fast Clube-Am(home) | 0-3 | Amazonense |
| Apr 1, 2017 | São Raimundo AM(home) | 3-0 | Amazonense |
| Mar 25, 2017 | Rio Negro AM(away) | 1-1 | Amazonense |
| Mar 22, 2017 | Nacional AM(home) | 2-2 | Amazonense |
| Mar 18, 2017 | Princesa Solimões(away) | 0-1 | Amazonense |
How many goals should we expect?
Peñarol score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 14; Holanda score 1.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/14 | 8/14 |
| Holanda | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy