Peñarol vs Sul América: result 1-0 and analysis
Amazonense1st Phase - 7Kick-off on March 2, 2019 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Floro de Mendonça, Itacoatiara, Amazonas
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What was the result of Peñarol vs Sul América?
Peñarol won 1-0 on March 2, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peñarol have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Sul América have 1, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2019 | Manaus FC(home) | 0-0 | Amazonense |
| Feb 24, 2019 | Rio Negro AM(away) | 2-0 | Amazonense |
| Feb 20, 2019 | Iranduba(away) | 2-1 | Amazonense |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Fast Clube-Am(away) | 0-1 | Amazonense |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Princesa Solimões(home) | 1-2 | Amazonense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2019 | Rio Negro AM(home) | 1-2 | Amazonense |
| Feb 23, 2019 | Iranduba(away) | 0-0 | Amazonense |
| Feb 21, 2019 | Fast Clube-Am(home) | 2-1 | Amazonense |
| Feb 17, 2019 | Princesa Solimões(away) | 1-4 | Amazonense |
| Feb 10, 2019 | Nacional AM(home) | 0-2 | Amazonense |
How many goals should we expect?
Peñarol score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sul América score 0.8 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peñarol | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Sul América | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1 | 4/6 | 4/6 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy