Penarol vs Wanderers: result 2-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraRegular Season - 6Kick-off on March 9, 2014 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Centenario, Montevideo
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What was the result of Penarol vs Wanderers?
Penarol won 2-1 on March 9, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 9′Matías Joaquín Santos ArosteguiWanderers
- 55′L. AguiarPenarol (pen.)
- 80′J. RodríguezPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penarol have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Wanderers have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2014 | Rentistas(home) | 1-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 1, 2014 | Danubio(away) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Racing Montevideo(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 7, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 2, 2014 | CA River Plate(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | Fenix(home) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 23, 2014 | Juventud(away) | 3-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 15, 2014 | Cerro Largo(home) | 4-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 8, 2014 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 2-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 2, 2014 | Cerro(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Penarol win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2013 | Wanderers 1-1 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 19, 2013 | Penarol 0-0 Wanderers | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 25, 2012 | Wanderers 1-2 Penarol | Primera División |
| May 13, 2012 | Wanderers 1-5 Penarol | Primera División - Clausura |
How many goals should we expect?
Penarol score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Wanderers score 2.1 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Wanderers | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penarol sit 2nd in Primera División - Clausura (78 points from 37 matches) and Wanderers sit 14th (31 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Penarol | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 66 | 34 | 78 |
| 14 | Wanderers | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 25 | 47 | 31 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy