Match

Peralada vs Tona: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 5Group 5 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Peralada, Peralada

PeraladaTona

The Footlab model makes Peralada the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Tona. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Peralada vs Tona?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Peralada (1,764) and Tona (1,758).

Peralada win46 %
Draw28 %
Tona win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peralada have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Tona have 4, 8 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Peralada
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Montañesa(home)5-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Cerdanyola del Vallès(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Can Vidalet(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Vic(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026L'Hospitalet(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Tona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026L'Escala(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
May 3, 2026Vilassar Mar(away)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Mollerussa(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026San Cristóbal(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Cornellà(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Peralada win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Tona win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026Tona 0-0 PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Nov 2, 2025Peralada 0-0 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 23, 2025Peralada 2-1 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 13, 2024Tona 0-0 PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Feb 25, 2024Peralada 2-0 TonaTercera División RFEF - Group 5
Oct 7, 2023Tona 1-1 PeraladaTercera División RFEF - Group 5

Last archived meeting: Tona vs Peralada on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Peralada score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tona score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Peralada1.41.367/158/15
Tona1.20.967/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Peralada sit 8th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 5 (46 points from 34 matches) and Tona sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Peralada34111310453946
9Tona3410159353145

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Peralada vs Tona?
The Footlab model makes Peralada the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Tona.
Where and when is Peralada vs Tona played?
Peralada vs Tona is played on September 13, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Peralada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 5.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Peralada and Tona

Ready to know everything about football?