Peru vs Bolivia: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Monumental, Lima
The Footlab AI model makes Peru the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Bolivia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Peru wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peru vs Bolivia?
On Elo ratings, Peru has 1,546 points and Bolivia 1,465.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Peru vs Bolivia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Peru
4-2-3-1- 7A. Ugarriza
- 11J. Vélez
- 19Y. Yotún
- 16W. Cartagena
- 26P. Magallanes
- 27J. Vidales
- 4M. López
- 15R. Garcés
- 8E. Noriega
- 13M. Huamán
- 1P. Gallese
Bolivia
3-5-2- 7M. Terceros
- 18J. Maraude
- 17R. Fernández
- 6H. Cuellar
- 14R. Matheus
- 21Y. Rocha
- 10R. Vaca
- 5E. Morales
- 2D. Arroyo
- 22M. Tórrez
- 23G. Viscarra
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 10:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peru have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Bolivia have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Colombia(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Canada(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Mexico(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Sep 26, 2026 | USA(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Spain(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Argentina(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Paraguay(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Algeria(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Scotland(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Iraq(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Intercontinental Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Peru wins, 0 draws, 2 Bolivia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | Peru 2-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Mar 21, 2025 | Peru 3-1 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Bolivia 2-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Peru 1-0 Bolivia | Friendlies |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Peru 3-0 Bolivia | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Bolivia 1-0 Peru | World Cup - Qualification South America |
How many goals should we expect?
Peru score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bolivia score 0.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peru | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bolivia | 0.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 3/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Peru vs Bolivia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peru vs Bolivia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Peru the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Bolivia.
- Where and when is Peru vs Bolivia played?
- Peru vs Bolivia is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Monumental, in the Friendlies.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.