Perugia vs Spal: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2016 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia
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What was the result of Perugia vs Spal?
Perugia won 1-0 on September 26, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 83′F. NicastroPerugia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 2 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Spal have 2, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2016 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Ternana(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Brescia(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Bari(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2016 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2016 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 17, 2016 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 10, 2016 | Ascoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Benevento(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Perugia score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 7; Spal score 1.4 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perugia | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1 | 5/7 | 2/7 |
| Spal | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy