Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21: prediction and stats
Premier League CupGroup StageKick-off on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Peterborough United U21 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Nottingham Forest U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Peterborough United U21 (1,749) and Nottingham Forest U21 (1,827).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterborough United U21 have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nottingham Forest U21 have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Swansea City U21(away) | 3-2 | Professional Development League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Queens Park Rangers U21(home) | 2-0 | Professional Development League |
| May 4, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 0-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Stoke City U21(away) | 3-1 | Professional Development League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 1-1 | Professional Development League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 1-5 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Luton Town U21(home) | 2-0 | Premier League Cup |
| May 11, 2026 | Norwich City U21(home) | 1-2 | Professional Development League |
| May 4, 2026 | Peterborough United U21(away) | 1-0 | Professional Development League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Peterborough United U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Nottingham Forest U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2026 | Peterborough United U21 0-1 Nottingham Forest U21 | Professional Development League |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 on May 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterborough United U21 score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nottingham Forest U21 score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United U21 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
| Nottingham Forest U21 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nottingham Forest U21 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?
- The Footlab model makes Peterborough United U21 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Nottingham Forest U21.
- Where and when is Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 played?
- Peterborough United U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21 is played on October 9, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 2026Bristol City U214-0Reading U21
- Aug 14, 2026Leicester City U213-1Plymouth U21
- Aug 14, 2026Derby County U211-4Hull City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Wolves U212-0Burnley U21
- Aug 14, 2026Stoke City U210-0Leeds United U21
- Aug 14, 2026Swansea City U213-0Birmingham City U21
- Aug 14, 2026Southampton U214-0Blackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 14, 2026Brighton U212-0Millwall U21