Peterborough vs Stevenage: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough
The Footlab model makes Peterborough the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Stevenage. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterborough vs Stevenage?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Peterborough (1,785) and Stevenage (1,837).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterborough have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Stevenage have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | York(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Peterborough win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Stevenage win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Stevenage 1-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Peterborough 0-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Stevenage 1-1 Peterborough | League One |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Peterborough 2-0 Stevenage | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Peterborough 2-1 Stevenage | League One |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Peterborough 3-1 Stevenage | League One |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Peterborough on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterborough score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterborough | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterborough sit 13th in League One (3 points from 2 matches) and Stevenage sit 19th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 19 | Stevenage | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterborough vs Stevenage?
- The Footlab model makes Peterborough the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Stevenage.
- Where and when is Peterborough vs Stevenage played?
- Peterborough vs Stevenage is played on September 1, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Weston Homes Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.