Petrolina vs Belo Jardim: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1FinalKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Paulo de Souza Coelho, Petrolina, Pernambuco
The Footlab AI model makes Petrolina the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Belo Jardim. The most likely score is 1-1. If Petrolina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,072 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Petrolina (1,428) and Belo Jardim (1,452).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Petrolina vs Belo Jardim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Petrolina
4-4-2- TTiaguinho
- IIgor
- KKiko
- JJoão Neto
- AAlvaro Vieira
- JJoão Victor
- IIsaque Gavioli
- MMarcos Vinicius
- AAugusto
- NNildo Petrolina
- AAndré Lucas
Belo Jardim
Not enough data to predict the Belo Jardim lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolina have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Belo Jardim have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Cha Grande(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Facilnet(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ferroviario do Cabo(home) | 7-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 3-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Salgueiro(away) | 1-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2026 | Facilnet(away) | 2-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Central SC(away) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Ypiranga PE(home) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Cha Grande(home) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pesqueira(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Petrolina win, 0 draws, 0 Belo Jardim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2023 | Belo Jardim 1-2 Petrolina | Pernambucano - 1 |
Last archived meeting: Belo Jardim vs Petrolina on Jan 29, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolina score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belo Jardim score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolina | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Belo Jardim | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolina sit 1st in Pernambucano - 1 (13 points from 5 matches) and Belo Jardim sit 3rd (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petrolina | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Belo Jardim | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
A question about Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolina vs Belo Jardim?
- The Footlab AI model makes Petrolina the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Belo Jardim.
- Where and when is Petrolina vs Belo Jardim played?
- Petrolina vs Belo Jardim is played on November 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Paulo de Souza Coelho, in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.