Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern SüdBayern Süd - 6Kick-off on August 25, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Heimstetten. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Pfaffenhofen (1,778) and Heimstetten (1,751).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Pfaffenhofen have 4 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Heimstetten have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pipinsried(away) | 0-5 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | 1860 München II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kottern(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1860 Rosenheim(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hankofen-Hailing(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalding-Heining(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Schwabmünchen(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 31, 2026 | TuS Geretsried(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Schwaig(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Pfaffenhofen score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 6; Heimstetten score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pfaffenhofen | 2.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 3/6 | 4/6 |
| Heimstetten | 1.6 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heimstetten | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 46 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten?
- The Footlab model makes Pfaffenhofen the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for Heimstetten.
- Where and when is Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten played?
- Pfaffenhofen vs Heimstetten is played on August 25, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 18, 2026Schalding-Heining1-5TuS Geretsried
- Aug 18, 2026Schwabmünchen2-2Sportfreunde Schwaig
- Aug 18, 2026Gundelfingen0-5Ismaning
- Aug 18, 2026Landshut6-21860 München II
- Aug 18, 2026Deisenhofen0-0Kottern
- Aug 18, 20261880 Wasserburg2-01860 Rosenheim
- Aug 18, 2026Kirchanschöring0-1Erlbach
- Aug 18, 2026Hankofen-Hailing3-0Pipinsried