Phare du Canal vs Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau: result 1-0 and analysis
Division d'HonneurRegular Season - 10Kick-off on December 18, 2011 at 12:00 AM (UTC)
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What was the result of Phare du Canal vs Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau?
Phare du Canal won 1-0 on December 18, 2011.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Phare du Canal have 2 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau have 4, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2011 | Stade Lamentinois(away) | 2-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 4, 2011 | AJS Saintoise(away) | 1-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Gosier(home) | 2-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 10, 2011 | Etoile du Carmel(away) | 1-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Oct 29, 2011 | Juventus Sainte-Anne(home) | 2-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2011 | AJS Saintoise(home) | 2-0 | Division d'Honneur |
| Dec 4, 2011 | Gosier(away) | 0-1 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 27, 2011 | Etoile du Carmel(home) | 3-2 | Division d'Honneur |
| Nov 10, 2011 | Club Amical(away) | 1-3 | Division d'Honneur |
| Oct 23, 2011 | USR Sainte-Rose(home) | 2-1 | Division d'Honneur |
How many goals should we expect?
Phare du Canal score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 8; Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau score 1.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phare du Canal | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
| Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau | 1.4 | 1.1 | 2 | 4/7 | 3/7 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Phare du Canal sit 13th in Division d'Honneur (36 points from 24 matches) and Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau sit 6th (58 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Etoile de Morne-à-l'Eau | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 29 | 58 |
| 13 | Phare du Canal | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 19 | 60 | 36 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy