Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars: prediction and stats
Premier DivisionRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)ABFA Technical Center, Piggotts
The Footlab AI model makes Pigotts Bullets the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Garden Stars. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pigotts Bullets wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Pigotts Bullets (1,749) and Garden Stars (1,686).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Pigotts Bullets
Not enough data to predict the Pigotts Bullets lineup.
Garden Stars
Not enough data to predict the Garden Stars lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pigotts Bullets have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Garden Stars have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Grenades(away) | 0-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ottos Rangers(home) | 3-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Potters Tigers(home) | 2-2 | Premier Division |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Green City(away) | 1-0 | Premier Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Jennings United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Attacking Saints(home) | 2-1 | Premier Division |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Grenades(away) | 1-3 | Premier Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ottos Rangers(home) | 5-0 | Premier Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Jennings United(away) | 6-0 | Premier Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | All Saints United(home) | 0-3 | Premier Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Pigotts Bullets wins, 2 draws, 0 Garden Stars wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Garden Stars 2-2 Pigotts Bullets | Premier Division |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Pigotts Bullets 2-1 Garden Stars | Premier Division |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Garden Stars 0-1 Pigotts Bullets | Premier Division |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Pigotts Bullets 1-1 Garden Stars | Premier Division |
Last archived meeting: Garden Stars vs Pigotts Bullets on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pigotts Bullets score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Garden Stars score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pigotts Bullets | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Garden Stars | 1.9 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pigotts Bullets sit 4th in Premier Division (39 points from 22 matches) and Garden Stars sit 7th (31 points from 21 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pigotts Bullets | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Garden Stars | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 47 | 37 | 31 |
A question about Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pigotts Bullets the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Garden Stars.
- Where and when is Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars played?
- Pigotts Bullets vs Garden Stars is played on October 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at ABFA Technical Center, in the Premier Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.