Pinzgau Saalfelden vs Ried II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 7Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)1508 SaalfeldenArena, Saalfelden am Steinernen Meer
The Footlab model makes Ried II the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pinzgau Saalfelden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pinzgau Saalfelden vs Ried II?
Ried II starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,582 vs 1,476).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pinzgau Saalfelden have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Ried II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Seekirchen(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wohnbau Dietach(home) | 2-4 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kuchl(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | LASK Juniors(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grödig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leonfelden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Pinzgau Saalfelden score 1.1 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ried II score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinzgau Saalfelden | 1.1 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Ried II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pinzgau Saalfelden sit 15th in Regionalliga - North (1 points from 5 matches) and Ried II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ried II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 15 | Pinzgau Saalfelden | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pinzgau Saalfelden vs Ried II?
- The Footlab model makes Ried II the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Pinzgau Saalfelden.
- Where and when is Pinzgau Saalfelden vs Ried II played?
- Pinzgau Saalfelden vs Ried II is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 1508 SaalfeldenArena, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.