Platges Calvià vs Mercadal: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 11Group 11 - 31Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, Mallorca
The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Mercadal. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Platges Calvià vs Mercadal?
Platges Calvià starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,721).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Platges Calvià vs Mercadal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Platges Calvià
Not enough data to predict the Platges Calvià lineup.
Mercadal
Not enough data to predict the Mercadal lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 02:05 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Platges Calvià have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Mercadal have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Inter Ibiza(home) | 5-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Formentera(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Andratx(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sineu(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Migjorn(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Llosetense(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Porreres(home) | 1-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Cardassar(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Alcúdia(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Constància(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Platges Calvià wins, 1 draw, 2 Mercadal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mercadal 1-0 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Platges Calvià 4-1 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Platges Calvià 1-0 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Mercadal 1-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| May 1, 2024 | Platges Calvià 2-3 Mercadal | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Mercadal 0-1 Platges Calvià | Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 |
Last archived meeting: Mercadal vs Platges Calvià on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Platges Calvià score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mercadal score 1.0 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Platges Calvià | 1.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Mercadal | 1.0 | 2.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Platges Calvià sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 (21 points from 9 matches) and Mercadal sit 13th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Platges Calvià | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 21 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 8 |
A question about Platges Calvià vs Mercadal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Platges Calvià vs Mercadal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Platges Calvià the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Mercadal.
- Where and when is Platges Calvià vs Mercadal played?
- Platges Calvià vs Mercadal is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Polideportivo Municipal de Magalluf, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 11.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.