Plauen vs Budissa Bautzen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Vogtlandstadion, Plauen
The Footlab model makes Plauen the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plauen vs Budissa Bautzen?
A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Plauen (1,805) and Budissa Bautzen (1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plauen have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Budissa Bautzen have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 3-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Bischofswerdaer FV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | FC Grimma(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Plauen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Budissa Bautzen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen 1-1 Plauen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Plauen 0-2 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 18, 2024 | Budissa Bautzen 2-2 Plauen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Plauen 1-0 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Budissa Bautzen 3-1 Plauen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Plauen 7-1 Budissa Bautzen | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Budissa Bautzen vs Plauen on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plauen score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plauen | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plauen sit 6th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Budissa Bautzen sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Plauen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plauen vs Budissa Bautzen?
- The Footlab model makes Plauen the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Plauen vs Budissa Bautzen played?
- Plauen vs Budissa Bautzen is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Vogtlandstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.