Plymouth vs Bradford: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 3Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bradford. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plymouth vs Bradford?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Plymouth (1,919) and Bradford (1,886).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Bradford have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Coventry(home) | 2-4 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-3 | League One |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tavistock(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Sheffield Wednesday(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Peterborough(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Preston(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Plymouth win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Bradford win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Bradford 1-1 Plymouth | League One |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Plymouth 0-1 Bradford | League One |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Bradford 2-1 Plymouth | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Plymouth 2-1 Bradford | League Two |
| Feb 16, 2019 | Bradford 0-0 Plymouth | League One |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Plymouth 3-3 Bradford | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 2.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bradford score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Bradford | 1.6 | 1.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plymouth sit 22nd in League One (1 points from 2 matches) and Bradford sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plymouth vs Bradford?
- The Footlab model makes Plymouth the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Bradford.
- Where and when is Plymouth vs Bradford played?
- Plymouth vs Bradford is played on August 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Home Park, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026BlackpoolvsPeterborough
- Aug 29, 2026Milton Keynes DonsvsLeicester
- Aug 29, 2026Cambridge UnitedvsHuddersfield
- Aug 29, 2026Leyton OrientvsBarnsley
- Aug 29, 2026Notts CountyvsBurton Albion
- Aug 29, 2026Stockport CountyvsWycombe
- Aug 29, 2026Sheffield WednesdayvsBromley
- Aug 29, 2026StevenagevsDoncaster