Plymouth vs Bury: result 2-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 21, 2013 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Home Park, Plymouth
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What was the result of Plymouth vs Bury?
Plymouth won 2-1 on December 21, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 11′C. LaveryPlymouth
- 49′C. SedgwickBury
- 78′R. ReidPlymouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plymouth have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Bury have 2, 8 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | Chesterfield(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Dec 7, 2013 | Welling United(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Burton Albion(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2013 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2013 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2013 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Dec 3, 2013 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 30, 2013 | Exeter City(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Nov 26, 2013 | Hartlepool(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 23, 2013 | AFC Wimbledon(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Plymouth score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Bury | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy