Plzen vs Slavia Praha: prediction and stats
Czech LigaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Doosan Aréna, Plzeň
The Footlab model makes Slavia Praha the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Plzen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Plzen vs Slavia Praha?
Slavia Praha starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (2,174 vs 2,054).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Plzen have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Slavia Praha have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zlin(home) | 3-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Teplice(away) | 5-5 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno(home) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(home) | 1-3 | Czech Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bohemians 1905(home) | 2-2 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Slovan Liberec(away) | 1-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pardubice(home) | 2-1 | Czech Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Baník Ostrava(away) | 4-0 | Czech Liga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Slovácko(home) | 5-1 | Czech Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Plzen win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Slavia Praha win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Slavia Praha 3-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Slavia Praha 0-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Plzen 3-5 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Slavia Praha 4-3 Plzen | Czech Liga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Plzen 1-3 Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Slavia Praha 3-0 Plzen | Czech Liga |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Praha vs Plzen on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Plzen score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Praha score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plzen | 2.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Slavia Praha | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Plzen sit 12th in Czech Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and Slavia Praha sit 1st (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 11 |
| 12 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Slavia Praha?
- The Footlab model makes Slavia Praha the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Plzen.
- Where and when is Plzen vs Slavia Praha played?
- Plzen vs Slavia Praha is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Doosan Aréna, in the Czech Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.