Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Podillia, Khmelnytskyi
The Footlab model makes Podillya Khmelnytskyi the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Vilkhivtsi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Podillya Khmelnytskyi (1,496) and Vilkhivtsi (1,507).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Podillya Khmelnytskyi have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Vilkhivtsi have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Vorskla Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chornomorets(home) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(home) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 24, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(home) | 5-0 | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Podillya Khmelnytskyi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vilkhivtsi score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Vilkhivtsi | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Podillya Khmelnytskyi sit 6th in Druha Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Vilkhivtsi sit 9th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Vilkhivtsi | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi?
- The Footlab model makes Podillya Khmelnytskyi the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Vilkhivtsi.
- Where and when is Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi played?
- Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Vilkhivtsi is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Podillia, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.