Police vs UPDF: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kavumba Recreation Center, Wakiso
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What was the result of Police vs UPDF?
Police won 1-0 on May 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 82′?Police (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; UPDF have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | SC Villa(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2025 | URA(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Express(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Maroons(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 UPDF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | UPDF 2-2 Police | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2022 | Police 2-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2022 | UPDF 0-1 Police | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Police 3-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | UPDF 1-0 Police | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2018 | Police 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UPDF | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 7th in Premier League (47 points from 30 matches) and UPDF sit 14th (22 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Police | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 47 |
| 14 | UPDF | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24 | 41 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy