Police vs UPDF: result 1-0 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on May 15, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kavumba Recreation Center, Wakiso
Full time
What was the result of Police vs UPDF?
Police won 1-0 on May 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 82′?Police (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Police have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; UPDF have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | SC Villa(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Maroons(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | KCCA(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2025 | URA(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | BUL(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2025 | Mbale Heroes(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2025 | Bright Stars(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Vipers(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Express(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Maroons(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Police wins, 2 draws, 2 UPDF wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | UPDF 2-2 Police | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2022 | Police 2-2 UPDF | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2022 | UPDF 0-1 Police | Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Police 3-0 UPDF | Premier League |
| Dec 19, 2020 | UPDF 1-0 Police | Premier League |
| Feb 20, 2018 | Police 1-2 UPDF | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Police score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; UPDF score 1.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Police | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| UPDF | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Police sit 9th in Premier League (7 points from 5 matches) and UPDF sit 12th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Police | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | UPDF | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
A question about Police vs UPDF?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy