Pontion Nea Amisos vs Aetos Orfani: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 1Group 1 - 17Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Aetos Orfani the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pontion Nea Amisos. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontion Nea Amisos vs Aetos Orfani?
Aetos Orfani starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,522 vs 1,304).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontion Nea Amisos have 0 wins, 2 draws and 13 defeats; Aetos Orfani have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Orestis Orestiadas(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Aris Piges(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 6, 2025 | PAO Kristoni(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Antheias-Aristinou(home) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Apollon Krya Vrysi(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Panthrakikos(away) | 1-5 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Poseidon Nea Michaniona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Xanthi FC(home) | 0-7 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Iraklis Therm.(home) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Doxa Dramas(away) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontion Nea Amisos score 0.5 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aetos Orfani score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontion Nea Amisos | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Aetos Orfani | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aetos Orfani | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 37 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontion Nea Amisos vs Aetos Orfani?
- The Footlab model makes Aetos Orfani the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Pontion Nea Amisos.
- Where and when is Pontion Nea Amisos vs Aetos Orfani played?
- Pontion Nea Amisos vs Aetos Orfani is played on February 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.