Poprad vs Kežmarok: prediction and stats
3. liga - EastEast - 15Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad, Poprad
The Footlab model makes Poprad the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Kežmarok. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Poprad vs Kežmarok?
Poprad starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,591 vs 1,462).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Poprad have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kežmarok have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lokomotíva Košice(home) | 2-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Starý Smokovec(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kežmarok(away) | 2-0 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Snina(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sokol Ľubotice(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Raslavice(away) | 0-1 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Poprad(home) | 0-2 | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lipany(away) | 0-5 | 3. liga - East |
| May 30, 2026 | Snina(away) | 1-3 | 3. liga - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Humenné(home) | 0-6 | 3. liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Poprad win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kežmarok win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kežmarok 0-2 Poprad | 3. liga - East |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Poprad 2-1 Kežmarok | 3. liga - East |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kežmarok 4-1 Poprad | 3. liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Poprad score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kežmarok score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poprad | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Kežmarok | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Poprad sit 5th in 3. liga - East (37 points from 26 matches) and Kežmarok sit 9th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Poprad | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 37 |
| 9 | Kežmarok | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 48 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Poprad vs Kežmarok?
- The Footlab model makes Poprad the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Kežmarok.
- Where and when is Poprad vs Kežmarok played?
- Poprad vs Kežmarok is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Futbalový štadion NTC Poprad, in the 3. liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.