Porz vs Hennef 05: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Brucknerstraße, Köln
The Footlab model makes Porz the favourite at 42%, against 19% for a draw and 39% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porz vs Hennef 05?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Porz (1,607) and Hennef 05 (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porz have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Hennef 05 have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 0-10 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Frechen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 3-8 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Porz win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hennef 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Porz 1-5 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Hennef 05 2-0 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 4, 2025 | Porz 5-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Hennef 05 1-4 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Porz 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 22, 2023 | Hennef 05 4-1 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Porz score 1.7 and concede 4.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 85% probability of over 2.5 goals and 83% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porz | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porz sit 13th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (25 points from 30 matches) and Hennef 05 sit 12th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
| 13 | Porz | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 99 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porz vs Hennef 05?
- The Footlab model makes Porz the favourite at 42%, against 19% for a draw and 39% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Porz vs Hennef 05 played?
- Porz vs Hennef 05 is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Brucknerstraße, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 85% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.