Potiguar Mossoró vs AO Itabaiana: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DMatchday 1Kick-off on June 12, 2016 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Leonardo Nogueira, Mossoró, Rio Grande do Norte
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What was the result of Potiguar Mossoró vs AO Itabaiana?
Potiguar Mossoró won 1-0 on June 12, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Potiguar Mossoró have 0 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; AO Itabaiana have 1, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2013 | Central SC(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 11, 2013 | Guarany de Sobral(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 3, 2013 | Ypiranga PE(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 28, 2013 | Tiradentes CE(away) | 0-3 | Serie D |
| Jul 21, 2013 | Ypiranga PE(away) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2012 | Sousa(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Vitoria Da Conquista(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Aug 5, 2012 | CSA(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 29, 2012 | Feirense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 22, 2012 | CSA(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Potiguar Mossoró score 0.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 8; AO Itabaiana score 0.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potiguar Mossoró | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 3/8 | 5/8 |
| AO Itabaiana | 0.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy