Primorje vs Bistrica: prediction and stats
2. SNLRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina, Ajdovščina
The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Primorje. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Primorje vs Bistrica?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Primorje (1,530) and Bistrica (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Primorje have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Bistrica have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Beltinci(away) | 0-4 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dekani(home) | 1-0 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Krško(away) | 1-2 | 2. SNL |
| May 31, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| May 27, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bilje(away) | 4-1 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ilirija(home) | 0-6 | 2. SNL |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Krka(away) | 0-0 | 2. SNL |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Voitsberg(away) | 4-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Primorje win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Bistrica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | Bistrica 1-1 Primorje | 2. SNL |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Primorje 2-2 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Primorje 2-0 Bistrica | 2. SNL |
| Aug 20, 2022 | Bistrica 0-0 Primorje | 2. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Primorje score 0.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bistrica score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Primorje | 0.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Bistrica | 1.5 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Primorje sit 13th in 2. SNL (3 points from 3 matches) and Bistrica sit 8th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bistrica | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Primorje | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Primorje vs Bistrica?
- The Footlab model makes Bistrica the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Primorje.
- Where and when is Primorje vs Bistrica played?
- Primorje vs Bistrica is played on April 29, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Nogometni stadion Ajdovščina, in the 2. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.