Progreso vs Cerrito: result 4-2 and analysis
Segunda División2nd Phase - 19Kick-off on October 26, 2023 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerrito?
Progreso won 4-2 on October 26, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 2′G. RosellóCerrito
- 25′G. ColmánProgreso
- 32′G. DíazCerrito
- 42′M. GarcíaProgreso
- 49′G. ColmánProgreso
- 70′F. LópezProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cerrito have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2023 | Potencia(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Nacional CNF(away) | 2-1 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Bella Vista(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Rentistas(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Miramar(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Uruguay Montevideo(home) | 2-6 | Segunda División |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Albion FC(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2023 | Basáñez(away) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 7, 2023 | SUD America(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Juventud(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Progreso win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Cerrito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2023 | Cerrito 1-3 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2021 | Progreso 0-1 Cerrito | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 29, 2021 | Cerrito 0-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Progreso 3-0 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Cerrito 2-2 Progreso | Segunda División |
| Oct 22, 2016 | Progreso 2-1 Cerrito | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerrito score 1.0 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Cerrito | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerrito | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Cerrito | 44 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 48 | 69 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy