Progreso vs Cerrito: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on December 3, 2014 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerrito?
Progreso won 2-1 on December 3, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 48′Carlos Alberto Mezoña VidalCerrito
- 71′Pablo Roberto Munhoz RodríguezProgreso (pen.)
- 80′Sergio Sebastián Souza PisanoProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cerrito have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2014 | Canadian(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Central Espanol(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 0-6 | Segunda División |
| Nov 9, 2014 | Atletico Torque(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Villa Espanola(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2014 | Deportivo Maldonado(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 15, 2014 | Sportivo Huracan(home) | 4-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Canadian(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Central Espanol(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Progreso win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cerrito win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2014 | Progreso 3-0 Cerrito | Segunda División |
| Dec 14, 2013 | Cerrito 3-3 Progreso | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cerrito score 0.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.8 | 1.6 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerrito | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerrito | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| 11 | Cerrito | 44 | 11 | 13 | 20 | 48 | 69 | 46 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy