Progreso vs Cerro: result 2-1 and analysis
Segunda División1st Phase - 2Kick-off on March 25, 2022 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Cerro?
Progreso won 2-1 on March 25, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 5′F. MillacetProgreso
- 45′D. NandínCerro
- 90′F. MillacetProgreso
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cerro have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | La Luz(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Atletico Torque(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 25, 2021 | Penarol(home) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Rentistas(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Wanderers(home) | 3-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | Villa Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Defensor Sporting(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 30, 2021 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 24, 2021 | Rocha(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 18, 2021 | Danubio(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Progreso win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cerro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2021 | Cerro 2-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Aug 16, 2020 | Progreso 2-0 Cerro | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Progreso 1-1 Cerro | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Cerro 0-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 25, 2018 | Cerro 5-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 10, 2018 | Progreso 0-1 Cerro | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.3 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 0.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
| Cerro | 1.3 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy