Progreso vs Club Nacional: result 0-1 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 8Kick-off on February 18, 2021 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
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What was the result of Progreso vs Club Nacional?
Club Nacional won 0-1 on February 18, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 44′G. BergessioClub Nacional
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Club Nacional have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | Danubio(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 3-3 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 7, 2021 | Cerro(away) | 0-2 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 2, 2021 | Fenix(home) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jan 30, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo(home) | 0-4 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2021 | Plaza Colonia(home) | 1-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 11, 2021 | Atletico Torque(away) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 8, 2021 | CA River Plate(home) | 3-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Feb 3, 2021 | Penarol(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jan 31, 2021 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progreso win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Club Nacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional 2-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 10, 2019 | Progreso 0-1 Club Nacional | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jul 27, 2019 | Club Nacional 4-2 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| May 4, 2019 | Club Nacional 4-0 Progreso | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2018 | Club Nacional 1-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Mar 4, 2018 | Progreso 2-1 Club Nacional | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Nacional vs Progreso on Aug 26, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Club Nacional score 1.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Club Nacional | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Club Nacional sit 1st (79 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 37 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 76 | 33 | 79 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy