Progreso vs Defensor Sporting: result 2-3 and analysis
Primera División - ClausuraClausura - 12Kick-off on October 19, 2025 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Full time
What was the result of Progreso vs Defensor Sporting?
Defensor Sporting won 2-3 on October 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 17′D. AbreuDefensor Sporting
- 32′F. LópezProgreso
- 62′D. AbreuDefensor Sporting
- 86′N. LópezProgreso
- 90′A. CambónDefensor Sporting
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progreso have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Defensor Sporting have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2025 | Plaza Colonia(away) | 1-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Cerro(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Racing Montevideo(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Sep 14, 2025 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | Penarol(home) | 0-2 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cerro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 6, 2025 | Wanderers(home) | 2-1 | Primera División - Clausura |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Central Espanol(home) | 2-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Miramar(away) | 0-0 | Primera División - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Progreso win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Defensor Sporting win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2025 | Defensor Sporting 1-2 Progreso | Primera División |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Defensor Sporting 3-0 Progreso | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Defensor Sporting 1-1 Progreso | Primera División |
| May 12, 2024 | Progreso 1-4 Defensor Sporting | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2022 | Defensor Sporting 3-1 Progreso | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 26, 2022 | Progreso 1-1 Defensor Sporting | Copa Uruguay |
Last archived meeting: Defensor Sporting vs Progreso on Apr 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Progreso score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Defensor Sporting score 1.0 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progreso | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Defensor Sporting | 1.0 | 0.8 | 8 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progreso sit 12th in Primera División - Clausura (39 points from 37 matches) and Defensor Sporting sit 5th (61 points from 37 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Defensor Sporting | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 61 |
| 12 | Progreso | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 38 | 60 | 39 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy